Adobe DRM
A fresh approach to technical analysis utilizing a full view
(multi-time frame) integrated analytical system.
Has the bear market ended? Is the rebound lasting? Everybody
wants an answer but nobody can provide one with a good degree of
confidence. While fundamental analysis is notoriously weak when it
comes to market timing decisions and price target forecasts,
technical analysis is equally timid in providing any concrete
answers to the above fundamentally important questions for market
participants. No existing system has produced a firm answer with a
respectable degree of conviction.
This book will present a system to answer those questions with a
high degree of confidence.
Xin Xie is the Director for Institute of International Trade and
Investment at the Upper Yangtze River Economic Research Center,
Chongqing University of Business and Technology and PRC Ministry of
Education. He has a Ph D in Economics from Columbia University in
New York and a Master of Arts Degree in Statistics at Zhongnan
University of Finance in China. He has extensive experiences in
banking and investment industries as Senior Economists and
Strategists in Bank of America and UBS AG.
(multi-time frame) integrated analytical system.
Has the bear market ended? Is the rebound lasting? Everybody
wants an answer but nobody can provide one with a good degree of
confidence. While fundamental analysis is notoriously weak when it
comes to market timing decisions and price target forecasts,
technical analysis is equally timid in providing any concrete
answers to the above fundamentally important questions for market
participants. No existing system has produced a firm answer with a
respectable degree of conviction.
This book will present a system to answer those questions with a
high degree of confidence.
Xin Xie is the Director for Institute of International Trade and
Investment at the Upper Yangtze River Economic Research Center,
Chongqing University of Business and Technology and PRC Ministry of
Education. He has a Ph D in Economics from Columbia University in
New York and a Master of Arts Degree in Statistics at Zhongnan
University of Finance in China. He has extensive experiences in
banking and investment industries as Senior Economists and
Strategists in Bank of America and UBS AG.
€76.99
Table of Content
Preface.1 The Need for a Full View Integrated Approach.
1.1 The Motivation.
1.2 The Necessity of FVITA.
1.3 Random Walk?
2 Two Basic Elements of Market Dynamics.
2.1 Oscillators–An Overview.
2.2 The Oscillator of Choice–Stochastics.
2.3 Trend Indicator–Moving Average.
2.4 Trend Indicator–Moving Average
Convergence/Divergence.
2.5 Adaptive Trend Indicators.
2.6 Adaptive Oscillators.
2.7 Other Tools of Technical Analysis.
3 Multi-Screen Systems.
3.1 The Need for Multi-Screen Approaches.
3.2 Triple Screens.
3.3 Extended Interval Charts in FVITA–Daily and Up.
3.4 Intra-Day Interval Charts in FVITA.
4 Bounded, Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Markets.
4.1 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Market I–Concept.
4.2 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Market
II–Criteria.
4.3 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Market III–Limits of
Countermovements.
4.4 Triple Screen System Under Full View.
5 Market Turning Points and Duration of Pauses.
5.1 Support and Resistance.
5.2 Bollinger Bands.
5.3 Waves.
5.4 Turning Points after Eight and R9 Observations.
5.5 Thrust.
5.6 Type I, II, and III Pauses.
6 Trend Reversals vs. Temporary Countertrends.
6.1 Trend Reversals.
6.2 Without the Two-Day Chart.
6.3 Running Space after Trend Reversal.
6.4 Temporary Countertrends.
6.5 Straight Pauses.
6.6 Exception 1: Composite Bottoming-Up and Composite
Topping-Off.
6.7 Exception 2: Approaching the Turning Point.
6.8 Relationship between Low- and High-Order Signals.
6.9 Trading Strategies on Trend Signals.
7 Pauses Under Different Market Conditions.
7.1 Pausing-Down from a Historical New High.
7.2 Pauses Against Temporary Trends.
7.3 Trading Strategies for Pauses.
8 Case Studies.
8.1 Case 1: The 2007 Financial Market Crisis–DJIA.
8.2 Case 2: The 2000 High-Tech Bubble and its
Aftermath–DJIA.
8.3 Case 3: The 1990 Bubble and Fall–Topix.
8.4 Case 4: The 2003 Rebound and 2007 Crash.
8.5 Case 5: The 2007 Crash–Shanghai Composite Index.
9 Random Walk, Effi cient Market vs. Market Activism.
9.1 Efficient Market Hypothesis–The Roots 208.
9.2 Efficient Market Hypothesis–The Evidence.
9.3 EMH, Market Activism and the $100 Bill Story.
9.4 Flawed Empirical Observations Against Market Activism.
9.5 A Fund to Show Effective Market Activision.
9.6 A Theoretical Argument for Technical Analysis.
10 Integrating Macro, Fundamental, Quantitative and Technical
Analysis.
10.1 The Fragmented State of Market Analysis.
10.2 Integrating Different Technical Analyses Under FVITA.
10.3 Macroeconomic Analysis and FVITA.
10.3.1 Integrated Approach to News Processing.
10.3.2 Integrated Analysis of Bubbles and Panics.
10.4 Firm Fundamentals and FVITA 248.
10.5 Options and FVITA.
11 Other Issues.
11.1 Statistical Analysis.
11.2 Technical Analysis as Public Knowledge.
12 Concluding Remarks.
Glossary.
References.
Index.
About the author
Xin Xie is the Director for the Institute of International Trade and Investment at the Upper Yangtze River Economic Research Center, Chongqing University of Business and Technology and PRC Ministry of Education. He has a Ph D in Economics from the Columbia University in New York and a Master of Arts Degree in Statistics at Zhongnan University of Finance in China. He has extensive experience in the banking and investment industries as a Senior Economist and Strategist, starting his investment career with UBS AG in Zurich and later working for the Bank of America in Singapore.
Language English ● Format EPUB ● Pages 288 ● ISBN 9780470826782 ● File size 3.8 MB ● Publisher John Wiley & Sons ● Published 2010 ● Edition 1 ● Downloadable 24 months ● Currency EUR ● ID 2324500 ● Copy protection Adobe DRM
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